Growing numbers of older immigrants in Norway’s future labour force - and how low emigration among older immigrants can make it possible to project their future education, employment and urbanity - EXITNORWAY POLICY BRIEF No 1

Abstract

According to population projections, the number of immigrants in Norway will increase in the future, but exclusively in older age groups. The number of immigrants aged 55-66 years is expected to increase threefold within the next 20 years. What will characterize these older immigrants? Since emigration rates among immigrants above age 50 are relatively low, we explore the possibility for projecting likely characteristics of the older immigrants of the future (education, place of residence and employment) based on what we know about today’s younger immigrants. Our results suggest that future older immigrants in Norway are likely to be lower educated and have lower labour market participation rates than natives of the same age.