• When 2 + 2 should be 5: The summation fallacy in time prediction 

      Halkjelsvik, Torleif; Jørgensen, Magne (Journal of Behavioral Decision Making;Volume 35, Issue 3, e2265, Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021-11-10)
      Predictions of time (e.g., work hours) are often based on the aggregation of estimatesof elements (e.g., activities and subtasks). The only types of estimates that can besafely aggregated by summation are those reflecting ...